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In this commit, we fold the shift-isolated mainnet arm into the exp-019 record. Shift does not help lnd on mainnet: both CIs straddle zero, the sign flips between levels, and the decomposition shows the small positive at 0.1 is the give-up spiral's attempt term with success falling on eight of eight files. The anomaly is hard-tier only, and the route-geometry story fails by its own premise — it predicted the vanishing because mainnet routes would be longer, and they are three times shorter (hub source, 1.9 mean first-attempt hops against 5.4). An outcome can match a prediction while refuting its premise; this one did, and the check ran before anything was published rather than after. The anomaly now ships with two facts and no mechanism, and the queue drops the isolation arm as done. |
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