lnd/simulation/lab/experiments
Olaoluwa Osuntokun 2b1f78aefc simulation: document the drift1 winner, resolve exp-008 in the docs
In this commit, we give the code_drift1 winner the same documentation
treatment as the champions: a companion markdown next to its archived
source that walks the time machinery -- the 35 minute confidence
half-life, the 20 minute bound expiry, and the confidence-weighted
interpolation that slides aging evidence back toward the bimodal
prior -- and contrasts it axis by axis with lnd's decay, which fades a
failure judgment toward the apriori estimate rather than fading trust
in evidence toward a learned prior. The doc is honest about why the
router is not promoted: it loses every held-out tier, including the
drift corpus it was bred on, and its own code carries the flaws of a
400 eval budget.

We also flip the champions documentation from pending to resolved.
The README's leading caveat no longer says exp-008 is testing whether
zero-time-logic is a simulator artifact; it reports that the test ran,
that time awareness re-evolved unprompted, and that it lost on every
tier, making the champions' timelessness a validated design property
at this churn rather than an open question. The results tables gain
the drift tier and the drift1 comparison column, the lineage diagram
gains its fourth branch, and the per-champion docs get the same
surgical pending-to-verdict edits.
2026-07-24 20:26:46 -07:00
..
exp-001-param-smoke.md simulation: add evolved router champions and lab notebook 2026-07-24 13:01:06 -07:00
exp-002-param-run1.md simulation: add evolved router champions and lab notebook 2026-07-24 13:01:06 -07:00
exp-003-seed-router-vs-lnd.md simulation: add evolved router champions and lab notebook 2026-07-24 13:01:06 -07:00
exp-004-code-evolution.md simulation: add evolved router champions and lab notebook 2026-07-24 13:01:06 -07:00
exp-004-sim-audit.md simulation: add evolved router champions and lab notebook 2026-07-24 13:01:06 -07:00
exp-005-sim-audit.md simulation: add evolved router champions and lab notebook 2026-07-24 13:01:06 -07:00
exp-006-breakthrough.md simulation: add evolved router champions and lab notebook 2026-07-24 13:01:06 -07:00
exp-007-mix-followup.md simulation: add evolved router champions and lab notebook 2026-07-24 13:01:06 -07:00
exp-008-drift-evolution.md simulation/lab: close exp-008 -- time-awareness re-evolves, loses anyway 2026-07-24 20:08:33 -07:00
exp-008-drift1-best-candidate.go simulation/lab: close exp-008 -- time-awareness re-evolves, loses anyway 2026-07-24 20:08:33 -07:00
exp-008-drift1-best-candidate.md simulation: document the drift1 winner, resolve exp-008 in the docs 2026-07-24 20:26:46 -07:00
exp-009-mainnet-validation.md simulation/lab: add mainnet-graph validation results 2026-07-24 13:24:22 -07:00
exp-011-code-gen2.md simulation/lab: add exp-011, the code_gen2 insight-transfer run 2026-07-24 16:37:25 -07:00
exp-011-gen2-best-candidate.go simulation/lab: add exp-011, the code_gen2 insight-transfer run 2026-07-24 16:37:25 -07:00