Commit graph

27 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
445e8fb891 command-center: point run telemetry at code_econ2
In this commit, we swap the telemetry panel's lineage to the
economic-world run whose winner the new sections discuss.
2026-07-29 01:13:36 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
c811978d12 command-center: point run telemetry at code_deg1
In this commit, we swap the live-run panel's lineage data from the
exp-018 gepa arm to code_deg1, the most recently completed run, so
the telemetry matches the runs the page now discusses.
2026-07-27 21:53:48 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
9ef3817350 command-center: sync run.json (exp018 gepa arm) for v61 2026-07-27 11:06:15 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
5de6a7cb3e command-center: refresh run.json for the v58 publish
In this commit, we sync the run lineage data the v58 bundle shipped
with (code_hybrid1, 28 candidates), so the committed site matches
what Litbucket serves.
2026-07-27 00:30:56 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
152ea0a16e command-center: export the code_hybrid1 lineage for the exp-012 publish 2026-07-26 14:06:36 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
14b155dd6d command-center: export the code_atomic1 lineage for the exp-010b publish 2026-07-26 01:10:14 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
82819d72b9 command-center: export the opus1 lineage for the exp-010 verdict publish 2026-07-25 17:16:55 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
801a6b8a26 simulation: refresh dashboard for code_split2 run 2026-07-25 02:06:25 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
9c51986add simulation: refresh dashboard for code_split2 run 2026-07-25 01:36:07 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
3a3437a1d9 simulation: refresh dashboard for code_split2 run 2026-07-25 01:06:11 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
6ebb0da421 simulation: refresh dashboard for code_split2 run 2026-07-25 00:36:51 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
95a6ded516 simulation: refresh dashboard for code_split2 run 2026-07-25 00:06:03 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
25fc35eeb0 simulation: refresh dashboard for code_split2 run 2026-07-24 23:38:06 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
de6758eaab simulation: refresh dashboard for code_split1 run 2026-07-24 23:00:31 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
2bd8949d2a simulation: refresh dashboard for code_split1 run 2026-07-24 22:30:33 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
5b1415dd9a simulation: refresh dashboard for code_split1 run 2026-07-24 22:00:25 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
d445bb890b simulation: refresh dashboard for code_split1 run 2026-07-24 21:30:38 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
aefebd2aeb simulation: refresh dashboard for code_drift1 run 2026-07-24 20:04:51 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
ca8d612d3c simulation: refresh dashboard for code_drift1 run 2026-07-24 19:29:23 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
124d954b00 simulation: refresh dashboard for code_drift1 run 2026-07-24 18:59:16 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
212474f780 simulation: refresh dashboard for code_drift1 run 2026-07-24 18:29:09 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
6f67e522a0 simulation: refresh dashboard for code_drift1 run
In this commit, we pick up the dashboard refresh for the code_drift1
run: the exported lineage data now reflects 167/400 evals, best score
0.9209, with the budget still open.
2026-07-24 17:59:56 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
16f93016de simulation/command-center: add paradigm-ceiling section and drift page
In this commit, we fold the two newest findings into the site without
touching the approved design. The settled result, exp-011's paradigm
ceiling, becomes a new findings section: three independent lineages
converge within 0.014 objective of one another on the same
interval-belief design, shown as a dot plot against the lnd and seed
baselines, with the two unrewarded inventions and the honest limits
(three samples, shared reflection-model culture) called out alongside.

The in-flight experiment gets its own page instead: drift.html, a
third nav tab covering the virtual clock and background traffic
mechanics, the pre-evolution baseline in which the champions' hard
bounds survive drift while lnd's decay still trails, and a ledger of
what each possible outcome of the live code_drift1 run would mean.
Keeping a verdictless experiment out of the findings page preserves
that page's register, and the new tab gives future in-flight chapters
a home.

The masthead, timeline, and live-run telemetry now reflect eleven
experiments with code_drift1 running, and refresh_dashboard.sh
bundles the new page so scheduled publishes carry it. Published as
Litbucket version 36.
2026-07-24 17:31:33 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
246528d679 simulation/lab: add exp-011, the code_gen2 insight-transfer run
In this commit, we write up exp-011: the code_gen2 run seeded from the
small original router with the champions' discovered insights supplied
only as prose in the reflection prompt. The run completed its full 400
eval budget cleanly and accepted 31 candidates, roughly four times
code_mix1's acceptance rate, confirming that small seeds iterate much
faster than champion-sized ones.

The headline result: insight transfer works, but hits the same
ceiling. The best gen2 candidate reaches champion-class performance on
all three held-out tiers (combined 0.638 vs mx_c3's 0.652 and hb1's
0.640, with identical 2.3 attempts/payment on mainnet) yet passes
neither champion. Three independent lineages now converge on the same
interval-belief paradigm and the same performance band, which reads as
a local optimum for the current environments. gen2 also evolved two
novel mechanisms the sim never rewards -- in-flight local liquidity
reservation and weakest-edge failure attribution -- suggesting the
next lever is changing the environment (exp-008 background traffic,
exp-010 splitting pressure) rather than spending more eval budget.

We archive the best candidate source next to the writeup, log the
paradigm-ceiling learning in IDEAS.md, update the notebook and
CLAUDE.md open-work section, and check in the final code_gen2 lineage
data for the command center.
2026-07-24 16:37:25 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
d13a376e53 simulation/command-center: redesign site, add findings page
In this commit, we replace the dashboard's console theme with an
editorial report design: a single light paper theme, serif headings
and body with mono reserved for quantitative type, and one oxide
accent used only where it carries meaning. The palette was validated
for CVD contrast against the actual background rather than eyeballed.

We also add findings.html, a standalone write-up of the research so
far: the mainnet validation headlined by the 8.6x attempt reduction,
the paradigm-over-parameters negative result, the three tiers of
held-out evidence, and an anatomy ledger of what the evolved routers
dropped, rediscovered, and invented relative to lnd's stack --
including the honest caveat that the champions' rejection of time
based logic is partly a simulator artifact.

Four hand-drawn SVG diagrams explain the system: the GEPA loop, a
schematic contrasting clock-decayed penalties with evidence-bounded
liquidity intervals, the rediscovered bimodal prior plotted from the
champions' own constants, and the champions comparison chart.

The live-run wiring is hardened for code-mode runs: the candidate
view now detects Go-source candidates, shows line counts and source
diffs, and degrades gracefully on missing exporter fields. Finally,
refresh_dashboard.sh now bundles findings.html, so scheduled
refreshes no longer drop the page from the published site.
2026-07-24 13:52:24 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
ecddf094bf simulation: refresh dashboard for code_gen2 run
In this commit, we pick up the dashboard refresh for the new code_gen2
run: the exported lineage data and a live-run note that the small-seed,
insight-enriched follow-up is in flight.
2026-07-24 13:07:51 -07:00
Olaoluwa Osuntokun
b4e56dfb2c simulation: add command-center dashboard
In this commit, we add the static command-center site: an overview phase
tracker, live run charts with candidate lineage, a corpus explorer, and
an explainer covering the simulator, mission control's probability
models, and the evolution results. The site is self-contained (no build
step), serves via any static file server, and publishes to Litbucket
through the refresh_dashboard.sh script, which exports a GEPA run
directory into the dashboard's data schema via export_run.py.
2026-07-24 13:01:06 -07:00